Author: unlikelihoodscale

Improbability
Event Category Factor ▾ Tag
Dying (any cause) Death 0.0 Likely
Winning a coin flip Luck 0.5 Likely
Rolling a 7 or 11 with two dice Luck 1.1 Conceivable
Dying of heart disease or cancer Death 1.4 Conceivable
Pro baseball game going into extra innings Sports 1.7 Conceivable
Rolling a Yahtzee Luck 2.2 Uncommon
Dying of chronic lower respiratory disease Death 2.4 Uncommon
Giving birth to twins naturally Life 2.5 Uncommon
Picking a winning number in Roulette Luck 2.6 Uncommon
A child having autism Life 3.0 Unusual
Coming back from a 0-3 deficit in pro playoffs Sports 3.0 Unusual
Dying from intentional self-harm Death 3.3 Unusual
Dying from unintentional poisoning Death 3.3 Unusual
Dying from a motor vehicle crash Death 3.4 Unusual
Dying from a fall Death 3.5 Unusual
Professional bowling a perfect game Sports 3.5 Unusual
Rolling a Bunco Luck 3.9 Unusual
Dying from assault by firearm Death 4.2 Improbable
Pro baseball players making a triple play Sports 4.2 Improbable
Receiving a 100% movie rating on Rotten Tomatoes Life 4.5 Improbable
A child having Down syndrome Life 4.7 Improbable
Drawing a full house in draw poker Luck 4.7 Improbable
Dying from a pedestrian incident Death 4.7 Improbable
Pro baseball player hitting for the cycle Sports 4.7 Improbable
Pro baseball pitcher throwing a no-hitter Sports 4.8 Improbable
A child having a cleft lip Life 4.9 Improbable
Dying from a motorcycle rider incident Death 4.9 Improbable
Dying from unintentional drowning or submersion Death 5.1 Rare
Contracting a rare disease Life 5.3 Rare
Dying from exposure to fire, flames, or smoke Death 5.3 Rare
A child having spina bifida Life 5.7 Rare
Being drafted into pro basketball Sports 5.9 Rare
Dying from choking on food Death 5.9 Rare
Picking all 32 first-round games in March bracket Sports 5.9 Rare
Professional golfer hitting a hole-in-one Sports 5.9 Rare
Drawing four of a kind in draw poker Luck 6.0 Faint
Dying from pedacyclist incident Death 6.0 Faint
Dying from firearms discharge Death 6.5 Faint
Giving birth to triplets naturally Life 6.5 Faint
Dying from air or space transport incidents Death 6.6 Faint
Finding a four-leaf clover Luck 6.6 Faint
Amateur bowling a perfect game Sports 6.7 Faint
Dying from exposure to excessive natural heat Death 6.7 Faint
Pro baseball pitcher throwing a perfect game Sports 6.7 Faint
Amateur golfer hitting a hole-in-one Sports 6.8 Faint
Pro baseball unassisted triple play Sports 6.8 Faint
Dying from electricity, radiation, temp, pressure Death 6.9 Faint
Pro baseball player hitting four home runs Sports 6.9 Faint
Dying from contact with sharp objects Death 7.5 Remote
Dying from a cataclysmic storm Death 8.0 Implausible
Dying from contact with heat or hot substances Death 8.0 Implausible
Dying from contact with hornets, wasps, and bees Death 8.0 Implausible
Drawing a straight flush in draw poker Luck 8.1 Implausible
Dying from being bitten or struck by a dog Death 8.4 Implausible
Dying from legal execution Death 8.4 Implausible
Dying from lightning strike Death 8.7 Implausible
Dying from a shark attack Death 9.4 Inconceivable
Drawing a royal flush in draw poker Luck 9.7 Inconceivable
Giving birth to quadruplets naturally Life 9.7 Inconceivable
Finding a five-leaf clover Luck 10.0 Absurd
Picking all Sweet 16 teams in March bracket Sports 10.4 Absurd
No one shares the same birthday in a group of 100 Luck 10.8 Absurd
Dying from a shark attack in a given year Death 10.9 Absurd
Creating a billion-dollar startup Luck 11.1 Absurd
Winning the New York Lotto jackpot (six numbers) Luck 12.7 Absurd
Giving birth to quintuplets naturally Life 12.9 Absurd
Winning a lottery jackpot Luck 13.7 Absurd
Winning the Powerball grand prize Luck 13.8 Absurd
Filling out a perfect college bracket Sports 15.5 Ridiculous
Having DNA that is a SGM+ match with a non-twin Luck 19.9 Ridiculous
Filling out a perfect college bracket randomly Sports 31.5 Ludicrous