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The Unlikelihood Scale

Is what happened rare, remote, or ridiculous?
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Category: Luck

Improbability
Event Category Factor ▾ Tag
Winning a coin flip Luck 0.5 Likely
Rolling a 7 or 11 with two dice Luck 1.1 Conceivable
Rolling a Yahtzee Luck 2.2 Uncommon
Picking a winning number in Roulette Luck 2.6 Uncommon
Rolling a Bunco Luck 3.9 Unusual
Drawing a full house in draw poker Luck 4.7 Improbable
Drawing four of a kind in draw poker Luck 6.0 Faint
Finding a four-leaf clover Luck 6.6 Faint
Drawing a straight flush in draw poker Luck 8.1 Implausible
Drawing a royal flush in draw poker Luck 9.7 Inconceivable
Finding a five-leaf clover Luck 10.0 Absurd
No one shares the same birthday in a group of 100 Luck 10.8 Absurd
Creating a billion-dollar startup Luck 11.1 Absurd
Winning the New York Lotto jackpot (six numbers) Luck 12.7 Absurd
Winning a lottery jackpot Luck 13.7 Absurd
Winning the Powerball grand prize Luck 13.8 Absurd
Having DNA that is a SGM+ match with a non-twin Luck 19.9 Ridiculous

Unlikelihood Scale

The list of unlikelihood levels and their improbability factors.

Categories

  • Death
  • Life
  • Luck
  • Sports

Tags

Absurd Conceivable Faint Implausible Improbable Inconceivable Likely Ludicrous Rare Remote Ridiculous Uncommon Unusual

Recent Posts

  • Dying (any cause)
  • Winning a coin flip
  • Rolling a 7 or 11 with two dice
  • Dying of heart disease or cancer
  • Pro baseball game going into extra innings

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